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The mathematical formulation for the event sequence diagram framework
Authors:S Swaminathan  C Smidts  
Affiliation:Reliability Engineering Program, 2100 Marie Mount Hall, University of Maryland, College Park, MD 20742, USA
Abstract:The Event Sequence Diagram (ESD) framework allows modeling of dynamic situations of interest to PRA analysts. A qualitative presentation of the framework was given in an earlier article. The mathematical formulation for the components of the ESD framework is described in this article. The formulation was derived from the basic probabilistic dynamics equations. For tackling certain dynamic non-Markovian situations, the probabilistic dynamics framework was extended. The mathematical treatment of dependencies among fault trees in a multi layered ESD framework is also presented.
Keywords:Reliability  Risk analysis  Probabilistic risk assessment  Probabilistic safety assessment  Scenario modeling  System representation  Dynamic methodologies  Probabilistic dynamics  Markov processes
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