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利用AIC决定生丝纤度自回归阶数的探讨
引用本文:白伦.利用AIC决定生丝纤度自回归阶数的探讨[J].苏州大学学报(工科版),1990(2).
作者姓名:白伦
作者单位:苏州丝绸工学院丝绸工程系
摘    要:本文探讨了利用AIC确定生丝纤度序列自回归阶数时,纤度波动特性对最优自回归阶数的影响,提出各种不同条件下缫制的生丝自回归阶数的确定方法.通过模拟试验调查了自回归阶数对模拟纤度序列波动特性值误差的影响.

关 键 词:AIC  自回归阶数  自回归模型  拟似周期  衰减率

ON THE CHOICE OF AUTOREGRESSIVE DEGREE OF RAW SILK SIZE MODEL BY THE AIC
Bai Lun.ON THE CHOICE OF AUTOREGRESSIVE DEGREE OF RAW SILK SIZE MODEL BY THE AIC[J].Journal of Suzhou University(Engineering Science Edition),1990(2).
Authors:Bai Lun
Affiliation:Dept. of Silk Eng.
Abstract:In this paper, we discussed how the size variation property of raw silk influences the optimal autoregressive degree, when we choose the auto- regressive degree of raw silk size model by the AIC, and proposed a method for determining the degrees of various raw silk model which are reeled under different conditions. And by computer simulation, investigated error of the variation property value of simulant raw silk size series, which is afected by the autoregressve degree.
Keywords:AIC  Autoregressive model  Quasircycle  Rate of decay  Auto-regressive degree
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