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Life cycle costing of diesel,natural gas,hybrid and hydrogen fuel cell bus systems: An Australian case study
Affiliation:1. College of Applied Technical Sciences Niš, Niš, Serbia;2. Faculty of Mechanical Engineering, University of Niš, Niš, Serbia;3. Faculty of Occupational Safety, University of Niš, Niš, Serbia;1. Department of Global Ecology, Carnegie Institution for Science, 260 Panama St, Stanford, CA 94035, United States;2. Department of Engineering and Public Policy, Carnegie Mellon University, 5000 Forbes Avenue, Pittsburgh, PA 15213, United States;3. Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Carnegie Mellon University, 5000 Forbes Avenue, Pittsburgh, PA 15213, United States;4. Heinz College, Carnegie Mellon University, 5000 Forbes Avenue, Pittsburgh, PA 15213, United States;1. Department of Civil, Environmental, and Construction Engineering, University of Central Florida, Orlando, FL 32816, United States;2. Department of Industrial and Systems Engineering, Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute, Troy, NY 12180, United States
Abstract:The transit authority in Perth, Western Australia, has put several alternative fuel buses, including diesel-electric hybrid and hydrogen fuel cell buses, into revenue service over the years alongside conventional diesel and natural gas buses. Primary data from this fleet is used to construct a Life Cycle Cost (LCC) model, providing an empirical LCC result. The model is then used to forecast possible scenarios using cost estimates for next generation technologies. The methodology follows the Australian/New Zealand Standard for Life Cycle Costing, AS/NZS 4536:1999. The model outputs a dollar value in real terms that represents the LCC of each bus transportation technology. The study finds that Diesel buses deliver the lowest Total Cost of Ownership (TCO). The diesel-electric hybrid bus was found to have a TCO that is about 10% higher than conventional diesel. The premium to implement and operate a hydrogen bus, even if industry targets are attained, is still substantially greater than the TCO of a conventional diesel bus, unless a very large increase in the diesel fuel price occurs. However, the hybrid and hydrogen technologies are still very young in comparison to diesel and economies of scale are yet to be realised.
Keywords:Hydrogen  Hybrid bus  Transport energy  Life cycle cost  Natural gas  Transit economics
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