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Lower electricity prices and greenhouse gas emissions due to rooftop solar: empirical results for Massachusetts
Affiliation:1. Department of Earth and Environment, Boston University, Boston, MA 02466, USA;2. Economics and Environmental Studies, Vassar College, Poughkeepsie, USA;1. Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, Chicago, IL 60604, United States;2. Texas A&M University, College Station, TX 77840, United States;1. Ministry of Education Key Laboratory for Earth System Modeling, and Center for Earth System Science, Room S925, Meng Minwei Science Building, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China;2. State Key Joint Laboratory of Environment Simulation and Pollution Control (SKLESPC), and School of Environment, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China;1. Max Planck Institute of Microstructure Physics, Halle, Germany;2. Fraunhofer Center of Silicon Photovoltaics (CSP), Halle, Germany
Abstract:Monthly and hourly correlations among photovoltaic (PV) capacity utilization, electricity prices, electricity consumption, and the thermal efficiency of power plants in Massachusetts reduce electricity prices and carbon emissions beyond average calculations. PV utilization rates are highest when the thermal efficiencies of natural gas fired power plants are lowest, which reduces emissions of CO2 and CH4 by 0.3% relative to the annual average emission rate. There is a positive correlation between PV utilization rates and electricity prices, which raises the implied price of PV electricity by up to 10% relative to the annual average price, such that the average MWh reduces electricity prices by $0.26–$1.86 per MWh. These price reductions save Massachusetts rate-payers $184 million between 2010 and 2012. The current and net present values of these savings are greater than the cost of solar renewable energy credits which is the policy instrument that is used to accelerate the installation of PV capacity. Together, these results suggest that rooftop PV is an economically viable source of power in Massachusetts even though it has not reached socket parity.
Keywords:Electricity prices  PV generation  Carbon emissions  Renewable energy credits
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