| 灰色理论在路基沉降预测中的应用及其改进 |
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| 引用本文： | 姜鹏,张德军.灰色理论在路基沉降预测中的应用及其改进[J].山西建筑,2007,33(20):88-89. |
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| 作者姓名： | 姜鹏 张德军 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 中国材料工业地质勘查中心江苏总队,江苏南京 211135
2. 江苏省水文地质工程地质勘察院,江苏淮安 223005 |
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| 摘 要： | 系统介绍了灰色理论预测模型在路基沉降预测中的应用,并对灰色模型进行了改进,建立了五个灰色理论预测模型,通过模型预测值与实测值比较,得出灰色理论预测模型适合于沉降过程曲线发展缓慢的软土路基沉降预测,而采用灰数等维递补动态预测模型和改进的灰色模型具有更高的预测精度。
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| 关 键 词： | 沉降预测 灰色理论 灰数等维递补动态预测模型 改进灰色模型 |
| 文章编号： | 1009-6825（2007）20-0088-02 |
| 修稿时间： | 2007-02-01 |
The application of grey theory in road foundation settlement forecast its modification |
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| JIANG Peng,ZHANG De-jun.The application of grey theory in road foundation settlement forecast its modification[J].Shanxi Architecture,2007,33(20):88-89. |
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| Authors: | JIANG Peng ZHANG De-jun |
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| Affiliation: | JIANG Peng ZHANG De-jun |
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| Abstract: | This paper combine engineering case with grey theory to illuminate the application of grey theory model in road foundation settlement forecast, and make some modification to this model, through comparing 5 grey theory model forecasting result with settlement observation data, we get the conclusion that grey theory model is a good method to such soft soil road foundation settlement forecast that settlement process curve develops very slowly and using grey theory equivalent dimension dynamic forecast model and grey theory modification model to predict can get more exact result. |
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| Keywords: | settlement forecast grey theory grey theory equivalent dimension dynamic forecast model grey theory modification model |
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