基于蒙特卡洛法的弹着点散布仿真

弹着点散布仿真是对敌火力打击目标毁伤仿真的重要环节。在分析地面炮兵射击误差构成与计算方法的基础上，研究建立了炮兵射击的弹着点散布蒙特卡洛（Monte-Carlo）仿真模型，实现了对集火射向、适宽射向、三距离射击等多种火力打击方式共同作用下的弹着点散布的可视化仿真，仿真结果符合相关战术数据，为目标毁伤仿真研究提供了模型支持。以炮兵营对牵引炮兵连阵地射击为例进行了算例分析，结果表明，采用弹着点散布的蒙特卡洛仿真模型计算对任意形状点目标群的毁伤效能方便可靠且通用性强。

Simulation of Impact Position Based on Monte-Carlo Method

Simulation of impact position is an important step of the damage simulation. The impact position model is set up by Monte-Carlo method based on analyzing the components and calculating methods of firing error, and the visual simulation of impact position which is codetermined by concentrated fire, optimum width fire and three-distance fire is realized. The results accord with tactics of artillery, therefore the model can be used in damage simulatiorL The case of artillery battalion to position of towed gun company is analyzed, the results of which shows that it is facility, credible and general to calculate damage probability of any point targets using the impact model.