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电力需求与GDP关系的面板数据模型分析
引用本文:戚岳,陈丽萍,黄一鸣,王玮,周晖.电力需求与GDP关系的面板数据模型分析[J].电力需求侧管理,2009,11(4):16-19,24.
作者姓名:戚岳  陈丽萍  黄一鸣  王玮  周晖
作者单位:1. 廊坊供电公司,河北,廊坊,065000
2. 华北电网有限公司,北京,100045
3. 北京交通大学,电气工程学院,北京,100044
摘    要:基于面板数据模型对冀北5市电力需求与GDP之间的关系进行了分析,解决了一般模型对二维数据尤法处理的问题。通过模型形式设定检验判断不同地Ⅸ用电规模、用电结构是否存在差异,为崩电分析提供了一种新的手段。分析了模型中各方程的截距和斜率,实现了各地区特点的定量化比较。在面板数据模型中应用虚拟变量法,证明了经济周期对用电需求有显著影响。

关 键 词:电力需求  经济周期  面板数据模型  虚拟变量

The analysis of the relationship between electricity demand and GDP by using panel data model
QI Yue,CHEN Li-ping,HUANG Yi-ming,WANG Wei,ZHOU Hui.The analysis of the relationship between electricity demand and GDP by using panel data model[J].Power Demand Side Management,2009,11(4):16-19,24.
Authors:QI Yue  CHEN Li-ping  HUANG Yi-ming  WANG Wei  ZHOU Hui
Affiliation:1. Langfang Electric Power Supply Company;Langfang 065000;China;2. North China Grid Company Limited;Beijing 100045;3. Beijing Jiaotong University;Beijing 100044;China
Abstract:The relationship between the electricity demand and GDP of the five cities in the north of Hebei province was analyzed based on panel data model, and the problem that usual models were not able to deal with planar data was solved. The test which could ascertain the form of the model was used to judge whether there were differences in quantity and configuration among different areas. It puts forward a new method for the people who make analysis in the domain of power system. Then the quantitative comparison ...
Keywords:electricity demand  economy cycle  panel data model  dummy variables  
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