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电力市场中期货与现货电量交易比例的研究
引用本文:张舒,王承民,何伟,侯志俭. 电力市场中期货与现货电量交易比例的研究[J]. 华东电力, 2004, 32(4): 11-13
作者姓名:张舒  王承民  何伟  侯志俭
作者单位:上海交通大学,电子信息与电气工程学院,上海,200030;上海交通大学,电子信息与电气工程学院,上海,200030;上海交通大学,电子信息与电气工程学院,上海,200030;上海交通大学,电子信息与电气工程学院,上海,200030
摘    要:合理的期货与现货电量交易比例是保证电力市场有效实施的一个重要环节。以市场效率最大化为目标函数,考虑发电机组的可用容量与负荷预测的误差,以及输电线路的有效传输容量等因素,推导出期货与现货市场交易比例的计算公式,此公式是以发、输、负荷三个串联系统可靠供电的概率性指标为基础的。经过一个实际系统的仿真,说明这种比例是非常合理的。

关 键 词:电力市场  现货市场  期货市场
文章编号:1001-9529(2004)04-0011-03
修稿时间:2003-10-14

Study on proportion of future and spot electricity transactions in power market
ZHANG Shu,WANG Cheng-min,HE Wei,HOU Zhi-jian Electronic Information , Electrical Engineer College,Shanghai Jiaotong Univ.,Shanghai. Study on proportion of future and spot electricity transactions in power market[J]. East China Electric Power, 2004, 32(4): 11-13
Authors:ZHANG Shu  WANG Cheng-min  HE Wei  HOU Zhi-jian Electronic Information & Electrical Engineer College  Shanghai Jiaotong Univ.  Shanghai
Affiliation:ZHANG Shu,WANG Cheng-min,HE Wei,HOU Zhi-jian Electronic Information & Electrical Engineer College,Shanghai Jiaotong Univ.,Shanghai 200030
Abstract:The reasonable proportion of future and spot electricity transactions is key to ensure an effective implemen-tation of power market. Taking the market efficiency maximization as the objective function and taking into accountthe errors in the available capacity and load forcasting and considering the effective transmission capacity of transmis-sion line, the calculation formula for the transaction proportion of future and spot markets which is based on the prob-ability index of reliable power supply of the series system of generation, transmission and load was deduced. This pro-portion was proved reasonable through the simulation of an actual system.
Keywords:power market  spot market  future marker
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