| 灰色马尔科夫模型及其应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 邵静,王利超,刘新平. 灰色马尔科夫模型及其应用[J]. 纺织高校基础科学学报, 2009, 22(3) |
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| 作者姓名： | 邵静 王利超 刘新平 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 长庆油田公司,培训中心,陕西,西安,710021
2. 陕西师范大学,数学与信息科学学院,陕西,西安,710062 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金资助项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 将灰色系统理论和马尔科夫理论结合,建立了改进的灰色马尔科夫预测模型.用该预测模型对全国粮食产量进行预测,其精度误差从相对误差5%降低到1%,得到了更为准确的预测结果.
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| 关 键 词： | 灰色系统理论 1)模型 马尔科夫预测 粮食产量预测 |
The gray-Markov prediction model and its application |
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| SHAO Jing,WANG Li-chao,LIU Xin-ping. The gray-Markov prediction model and its application[J]. Basic Sciences Journal of Textile Universities, 2009, 22(3) |
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| Authors: | SHAO Jing WANG Li-chao LIU Xin-ping |
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| Abstract: | Scientifically accurate forecast for the fields of production and industry policy makers is of great significance.Gray predicted the most class GM(1,1)and Markov model prediction method can be used for time series prediction problem,but limited accuracy alone.in this paper,the Gray System Theory and Markov Theory,from a gray Markov model.gray GM(1,1) model forecasts the development trend,Markov forecating method used to predict the future state which,as well as the original forecast results for the amendmen... |
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| Keywords: | GM(1 |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
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