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Decision support for risk analysis
Authors:John M. Carroll
Affiliation:Computer Science Dept., University of Western Ontario, London, Ontario N6A 5B9, Canada
Abstract:Risk analysis requires the analyst to estimate at least the value of assets and annual likelihood of threats materializing. In some cases he has firm benchmarks to which to anchor these estimates. They include information from company books of account, historical records, and the opinions of experts in various fields.Firm benchmarks are not always available, however. Nevertheless, we still can make useful estimates. This is called decision making under uncertainty.
Keywords:Decision Support   Risk Analysis   Fuzzy Sets   Estimation   Threat Assessment   Asset Evolution   PERT   Beta Distribution
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