| n+2状态马尔可夫模型在三峡电站电气主接线可靠性计算中的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 邵黎,谢开贵,阳少华,周家启.n+2状态马尔可夫模型在三峡电站电气主接线可靠性计算中的应用[J].电力设备,2006,7(7):84-88. |
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| 作者姓名： | 邵黎 谢开贵 阳少华 周家启 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 重庆大学电气工程学院高电压与电工新技术教育部重点实验室,重庆市,400044
2. 中国长江水利委员会长江勘测规划设计研究院,湖北省,武汉市,430010 |
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| 摘 要： | 电站电气主接线可靠性评估中存在大量相关事件,运用统一n 2马尔可夫模型可避免传统的基于独立元件的可靠性模型在计算电站电气主接线可靠性时出现误差过大的不足,实现电站电气主接线的充裕性、安全性等评估。从可靠性的角度计算、比较和分析了三峡电站电气主接线10种待选方案在不同方面的优劣,并对选择的实施方案进行了综合分析和讨论。
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| 关 键 词： | 统一n 2状态马尔可夫模型 三峡电站电气主接线 可靠性分析 方案优选 |
| 收稿时间： | 2006-06-19 |
| 修稿时间： | 2006年6月19日 |
Application of n + 2 State Markov Model in Calculations of Main Wiring Reliability for Three- Gorge Power Station |
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| SHAO Li,XIE Kai-gui,YANG Shao-hua,ZHOU Jia-qi.Application of n + 2 State Markov Model in Calculations of Main Wiring Reliability for Three- Gorge Power Station[J].Electrical Equipment,2006,7(7):84-88. |
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| Authors: | SHAO Li XIE Kai-gui YANG Shao-hua ZHOU Jia-qi |
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| Abstract: | There is plenty of related incidents in the reliability assessment of electrical main wiring of power station, to adopt unified n 2 Markov model can avoid the traditional error and defeat in calculation of electrical main wiring reliability based on reliability model of independent element, and realize the evaluation of safety and abundance etc. for the electrical main wiring of power station. The different aspects of advantages and shortcomings were compared and analyzed for 10 kinds of electrical main wiring scheme of Three-Gorge power station from the point of view of reliability. The enforcement scheme was carried out integration analysis and discussion. |
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| Keywords: | Unified n 2 state Markov model electrical main wiring of Three-Gorge Power Station reliability analysis optimal selection of schemes |
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