| 大型发电机组可靠性预测方法与应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 史进渊.大型发电机组可靠性预测方法与应用[J].机械工程学报,2011,47(18):165-172. |
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| 作者姓名： | 史进渊 |
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| 作者单位： | 上海发电设备成套设计研究院 上海200240 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家高技术研究发展计划(863计划,2007AA04Z429); 上海市科技创新行动计划(09111100600)资助项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 提出发电机组可靠性预测的数学模型和预测方法.该方法在统计分析发电机组运行可靠性历史数据的基础上,确定检修系数的统计值与数学模型的待定参数.根据发电机组的计划检修天数与检修系数的数学模型,预测今后3年发电机组的等效可用系数.给出亚临界300 MW、超临界600MW、亚临界600MW火电机组和550 MW水电机组以及984...
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| 关 键 词： | 发电机组 可靠性 等效可用系数 可靠性预测 |
Reliability Prediction Methods and Application of Large Capacity Generating Units |
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| SHI Jinyuan.Reliability Prediction Methods and Application of Large Capacity Generating Units[J].Chinese Journal of Mechanical Engineering,2011,47(18):165-172. |
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| Authors: | SHI Jinyuan |
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| Affiliation: | SHI Jinyuan(Shanghai Power Equipment Research Institute,Shanghai 200240) |
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| Abstract: | A mathematical model of the reliability prediction of generating units is presented,together with the reliability prediction method.Based on statistical analysis of operation reliability past data for generating units,statistical values of the repair factor and the mathematical model's parameters of the repair factor are determined.According to plan repair outage days and the mathematical model for the repair factor of a generating unit,equivalent availability factor(EAF) of the generating unit could be pre... |
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| Keywords: | Generating unit Reliability Equivalent availability factor Reliability prediction |
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