Low T-cell responses to CD3 plus CD28 monoclonal antibodies are predictive of development of AIDS

OBJECTIVE: Decreased T-cell reactivity in vitro is strongly associated with progression to AIDS and low CD4+ T-cell numbers. Low T-cell responses in vitro induced by CD3 monoclonal antibody (mAb) are predictive for progression to AIDS independent of low CD4+ T-cell counts and high HIV-1 RNA levels. We developed a whole-blood lymphocyte culture system in which T cells were stimulated by a combination of CD3 and CD28 mAb. Combined stimulation of CD28, a costimulatory molecule, and CD3 considerably enhances T-cell responses in vitro and reduces variation coefficients, which may increase the prognostic power of T-cell responses. DESIGN: A prospective study of HIV-1-infected homosexual men followed for 35 months. METHODS: The predictive value of low T-cell responses to CD3 plus CD28 mAb relative to low CD4+ T-cell counts, high HIV-1 RNA levels and the presence of syncytium-inducing (SI) HIV-1 variants was evaluated longitudinally in 202 HIV-1-infected homosexual men followed for 35 months. RESULTS: In multivariate analysis, decreased T-cell responses at baseline were predictive of development of AIDS, independent of low CD4+ T-cell numbers and high HIV-1 RNA levels. In a time-dependent model, HIV-1 RNA levels lost their predictive value, whereas low T-cell responses, low CD4+ T-cell numbers and the presence of SI HIV-1 variants independently predicted AIDS. CONCLUSIONS: These data demonstrate that combined use of virological and immunological markers may be useful in monitoring disease progression and response to antiretroviral therapy.