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指标综合集成的多变量灰色模型预测
引用本文:惠红旗,周磊,刘卫朋.指标综合集成的多变量灰色模型预测[J].河北工业大学学报,2011,40(4):60-64.
作者姓名:惠红旗  周磊  刘卫朋
作者单位:1. 北京理工大学管理与经济学院,北京100081;河北科技大学经济管理学院,河北石家庄050018
2. 河北科技大学经济管理学院,河北石家庄,050018
3. 河北工业大学科研处,天津,300401
基金项目:国家自然科学基金(70973011)
摘    要:社会经济系统是受多因素影响的多层次、非线性复杂系统,因素之间的关系往往具有灰色特征.另外现有的相关统计数据往往偏少且不完整,使得灰色预测方法在社会经济系统中进行预测时受到青睐.在灰色关联度计算的基础上,将处于同一关联层次的指标集成为一个相应的无量纲指标,以关联度值作为权系数进行归一化得到其行为序列后,建立相应的多变量灰...

关 键 词:灰色模型  预测  综合集成

Multi-variable grey model forecast based on factors synthetic integration
HUI Hong-qi,ZHOU Lei,LIU Wei-peng.Multi-variable grey model forecast based on factors synthetic integration[J].Journal of Hebei University of Technology,2011,40(4):60-64.
Authors:HUI Hong-qi  ZHOU Lei  LIU Wei-peng
Affiliation:HUI Hong-qi1,2,ZHOU Lei2,LIU Wei-peng3(1.School of Management and Economics,Beijing Institute of Technology,Beijing 100081,China,2.School of Economics and Management,Hebei University of Science and Technology,Hebei Shijiazhuang 050018,3.Department of Scientific Research,Hebei University of Technology,Tianjin 300401,China)
Abstract:Social economic system is a multi-level,nonlinear complex system affected by many factors with grey characteristics.Existing statistical data are few and incomplete,which makes grey method apply widely.On the basis of grey incidence,we integrate the factors with the same correlation level into a factor with no dimension,and take grey incidence value as weight coefficient by normalizing to generate sequence data,and set up multi-variable forecasting model.In this way the method facilitates the choice of grey...
Keywords:grey model  forecast  synthetic integration  correlation  
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