2003年中国成品油消费市场分析及2004年展望

受“非典”影响,2003年上半年中国三大类成品油(汽油、煤油及柴油)表观消费量为6.234×10~2t,同比增长3.3％。其中汽油消费增长放缓,民航用油出现负增长,柴油消费则保持较快增长。依据用油行业消费调查以及成品油消费与GDP增长关系,考虑可能的影响因素,预测2004年中国成品油消费量将达到1.36×10~8～1.38×10~8t,同比增长4.6％～6.2％。

The Review of Refined Product Consumption Market and Forcasting for 2004

In the first half year 2003, apparent domestic consumption of main refined product (including gasoline, kerosene and diesel fuel) is 62.34 million tons, up 3.3 percent year- on- year, influenced by "SARS". Respectively gasoline consumption growth is slow, jet kerosene is negative and diesel fuel keep strong. Based on survey of oil - using industries and connection of oil consumption with gross domestic product ( GDP) , considering the possible influence factors at the same time, China s total demand of refined product (including gasoline, kerosene and diesel fuel) is expected to increase 4.6 - 6.2 percent to 136 - 138 million tons in 2004.