中国实现可持续能源供应的战略选择

论述我国实现能源可待续供应面临的挑战和可能的解决方案．特别是对能源可供应能力作了重点分析。由于工业化和城市化的驱动．未来20a我国能源需求预计将显著增长。我国能源消费的特征为需求绝对量巨大、人均水平低和能源强度高。如果能源消费的模式不加以根本改变．未来的能源供应将会是不可持续的．提出了能源效率优先．整体强化洁净煤、核能和可再生能源的战略。介绍我国实现能源可持续供应技术创新的机遇．能源可供应能力在很大程度上取决于能源高效利用、洁净煤发电、运输替代燃料、核电和可再生能源等领域的技术突破。

Strategy options for sustainable energy supply in China

The challenges and possible solutions for sustainable energy supply in China were presented, with special reference to the primary energy affordability. Dramatic increase of energy demands is projected in the coming two decades, driven by industrialization and urbanization. China's energy consumption could be featured by super high absolute demand, very low consumption per capita and high energy intensity. The energy supply in the future would not be sustainable unless significant changes are made in the consumption patterns. A strategy was proposed, with top priority for energy efficiency, combined with intensive clean coal, nuclear and renewable energy. In addition, the opportunities of technological innovation for sustainable energy supply are addressed, typically, the energy affordability is greatly depending on the technology breakthrough in the field of efficient energy utilization, clean coal generation, alternative fuel for transportation, nuclear power and renewable energy.