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网架结构变形的灰色预测
引用本文:吕彩忠,廖小辉,胡云世. 网架结构变形的灰色预测[J]. 杭州应用工程技术学院学报, 2012, 0(3): 241-247
作者姓名:吕彩忠  廖小辉  胡云世
作者单位:衢州学院建筑工程学院,浙江衢州3240000
基金项目:浙江省自然科学基金项目(Y110020); 衢州市科技计划项目(20111103)
摘    要:对网架结构特征点进行等时刻观测,利用灰色理论建立网架结构变形的预测模型,对网架结构的变形发展趋势进行预测分析,将预测结果与实际观测结果进行比对,确定灰色理论预测模型适用于网架结构的变形观测。在预测的精度分析中,采用残差检验的方法,通过对预测变形数据的绝对误差和相对误差进行系统分析,认为灰色理论的预测模型对网架结构的变形发展趋势具有较可靠的预见作用。

关 键 词:网架结构  变形观测  灰色理论  残差分析

Forecast about deformation of grid structure by using grey system theory
LU Cai-zhong,LIAO Xiao-hui,HU Yun-shi. Forecast about deformation of grid structure by using grey system theory[J]. Journal of Hangzhou Institute of Applied Engineering, 2012, 0(3): 241-247
Authors:LU Cai-zhong  LIAO Xiao-hui  HU Yun-shi
Affiliation:(Department of Construction Engineering, Quzhou College, Quzhou 324000, China)
Abstract:By observing the feature points of grid structure at the same time interval,The grey system was used to set up the deformation model of grid structure, and then the development trend of the grid structure was forecasted and analyzed. By comparing the results of the forecast and the practical observation, it believed that the gray theory prediction model was suitable for the grid structure of the deformation observation. The forecast accuracy was analyzed by using residual inspection method. The grey system theory prediction model was considered to be reliable and predictable role for the deformation trend of grid structure by analyzing the absolute error and relative error of the deformation prediction data.
Keywords:grid structure deformation observation grey system theory residual analysis
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