21世纪中国油气资源远景

由于发育大量不同类型中生界和新生界的沉积盆地，中国大陆应赋存有大量的石油和天然气。中国沉积盆地都经历了多期构造运动和不同类型盆地叠加，因此使中国石油勘探具有长期性、复杂性和艰巨性的特点。按照最保守的估计，中国的原油剩余可采储量可以一直开采到2063年，而天然气则可以延续至22世纪。目前，中国大部分的盆地基本处于勘探的早－中期阶段，中国未来主要的勘探领域有前陆盆地、古隆地及大型隆起周围的地层岩性油气藏、古生界海相油气藏和渤海湾地区浅层次生油气藏等。高新技术的应用对石油工业发展所起的作用是革命性的，只要坚持持续勘探，中国石油工业一定会取得不断的发展，为此，提出了尽快开展新一轮油气资源评价，加强综合研究，解决关键技术及工艺，应用综合勘探技术，建立和运用风险勘探观点的五项建议。

On Prospective Hydrocarbon Resources of China in 21st Century

For there exist a lot of Mesozoic and Cenozoic depositional basins of different types,China's Mainland should be very rich in oil and gas resources.The basins are all subjected to multistage tectonic movements and different types of basins' superimpositions,so they have the long-term,complexity and great difficulty for petroleum exploration.In terms of the most conservative estimation,its remained oil recoverable reserves could have been recovered till the year of2063,while its natural gas till the22nd century.At pre-sent,most domestic basins are generally in early-middle stage for petroleum exploration.Foreland basin,palaeouplift and its surrounding strati-lithology reservoirs,marine facies reservoirs of Palaeozoic and shallow secondary reservoir in area of Bohai Bay basin and etc.will be its major petroleum prospecting domains.New-and high-tech application tends to be of revolutionary significance in light of their effects on petroleum industry development.As long as insisting to sustain exploration,China's petroleum industry is undoubted to achieve continuous development.Hence,the five recommendations are proposed by the author of carrying out as early as possible a new round assessment for petroleum resources,intensifying comprehensive study,solv-ing some critical issues in technique and technology,applying comprehensive exploratory technologies and adopting view points of risk-exploration.