我国硝酸铵市场现状及2012年市场预测分析

受下游民爆产品需求和硝基复合肥的拉动,我国硝酸铵产能和产量分别从2006年的5 000 kt/a和3 300 kt/a提高至2011年的6 100 kt/a和4 820 kt/a。自2010年底以来,我国硝酸铵市场逐渐转暖,2011年更是出现了产销两旺的局面。由于受原料成本及下游需求的有力支撑,预计2012年硝酸铵市场变化不会太大,市场价格将基本保持在2 200～2 700元/t的区间内波动。

Present Status of Ammonium Nitrate Market in China and Forecast and Analysis of Market in 2012

Pulled by demand of downstream civil explosives and ammonium nitrate based compound fertilizer products, the production capacity and output of ammonium nitrate of China have increased from 5 000 kt/a and 3 300 kt/a in 2006 to 6 100 kt/a and 4 820 kt/a respectively in 2011. Since the end of 2010, ammonium nitrate market in China has been gradually warming, and in 2011, there has even been emerged to a situation of both production and marketing thrivingly. As supported strongly by raw cost and downstream demand, it is expected that the ammonium nitrate market in 2012 will not change greatly, fluctuation in market prices will maintain basically in a range of 2 200 2 700 yuan/t.