中国可持续能源政策分析

本文分析了21世纪第一个十年中国能源开发利用状况和2020年前中国能源发展的主要趋势。指出2001～2010期间,尽管中国能源支撑了中国经济的高速增长,中国经济增长的粗放型模式导致能源过度消费和能源系统本身的重碳化。作者认为中国能源"走出去"的战略是成功的。国际油气市场的变化提供了新的机遇,除了采取各种能源供应安全的防范措施和政策外,2020年前中国对外油气的依存度仍然快速增长。本文特别强调应对气候变化、节能和煤炭消费总量控制是中国能源可持续发展的三个关键问题。中国正在酝酿新一轮的改革,作者对能源机构的改革目标和内容提出了一些建议。

Analysis of Sustainable Energy Policy in China

This paper analyzes China＇s energy development and utilization, and the significant trends of China＇s energy development during the first decade of the 21st century. It demonstrates that in the period between 2001 and 2010, even though the rapid growth of the Chinese economy was supported by China＇s energy, the extensive pattern of China＇ s economic growth has led to both energy overconsumption and heavy carbonization. The paper argues that China＇s strategy to internationalize its energy strategy was successful in taking advan- tage of opportunities to participate in the international oil and gas market. China＇s dependence on foreign oil and gas, however, will continue to grow rapidly before 2020 despite China＇s adoption of a variety of preventive measures and policies designed to secure to energy supplies. As China considers a new round of reforms, the paper proposes recommendations regarding the content and objectives of China＇s energy departmental reform, placing particular emphasis on addressing three key issues of sustainable energy development in China - cli- mate change, energy conservation, and limiting total coal consumption. A new round of reforms is brewing within China.