| 基于Logistic模型的上市公司财务预警实证研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 张晖.基于Logistic模型的上市公司财务预警实证研究[J].山东轻工业学院学报,2008,22(4). |
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| 作者姓名： | 张晖 |
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| 作者单位： | 山东轻工业学院经济管理学院,山东济南250353 |
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| 基金项目： | 山东省优秀中青年科学家科研基金
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| 摘 要： | 将在沪深两地上市的2004年～2008年被ST的公司界定的财务危机公司,配以股本结构相近的财务健康公司作为对比样本,利用假设检验逐步回归,从86个备选财务指标中选出7个可以用于财务预警的指标,建立了基于Logistic模型的财务预警模型,并利用这一模型对山东省上市公司进行了实证分析.
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| 关 键 词： | 财务危机 财务危机预警 Logistic模型 |
A case study of listed companies' financial crisis alarm based on the Logistic model |
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| ZHANG Hui.A case study of listed companies' financial crisis alarm based on the Logistic model[J].Journal of Shandong Institute of Light Industry(Natural Science Edition),2008,22(4). |
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| Authors: | ZHANG Hui |
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| Affiliation: | ZHANG Hui (School of Economics , Administration,Sh,ong Institute of Light Industry,Jinan 250353,China) |
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| Abstract: | The special treated(ST) companies which went to market between 2004 and 2008 were defined as companies with financial crisis.Compared with contrast samples,the financial health companies with similar capital structures,a financial alarm model that based upon Logistic model could be founded by using stepwise regression of hypothesis tests,which picked 7 out 86 financial targets as the financial alarm's indicator.And case analysis of listed companies in Shandong was carried out based on this alarm model. |
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| Keywords: | financial crisis financial crisis alarm system Logistic model |
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