稠油开发规划方案优选方法新探

针对目前优选模型存在不足，首先以兼顾主观偏好和客观信息的综合赋权法为依据。提出将合理反映主观认知程度的层次分析法和客观反映指标重要性的相似权二者结合起来，通过偏好系数科学合理的确定出方案指标权重。然后尝试用未确知测度模型对方案进行优选，排序。为验证方法的可行性，将其应用于稠油热采方案的评价，取得了令人满意的效果。该模型具有权重确定合理，理论严谨，测度函数构造精细的优点，减少了误判，提高了方案决策的可信度，对油田开发的优化具有重要意义。

New Study on Optimize Method of The Plan For Viscous Oil Development

Aimming at the shortcoming of present optimize model,At first,base on the method determining the synthetic weights of indexes that include both subjective favouritism and objective information.The article put forward that the combination of analytical hierarchy process which reflects subjective recognize degree reasonably with similar weight which objective shows the importance of index by subjective favouritism coefficient will scientific and reasonable determine the weights of indexes.Then,trying to optimize plan with the uncertained measure model.In order to test and verify its feasibility,this method is used to evaluate plans of viscous oil development,and has some good effects.