| 基于模糊最优识别理论的水电工程泥石流危险性评价模型 |
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| 引用本文： | 康业渊,张娜,狄文龙.基于模糊最优识别理论的水电工程泥石流危险性评价模型[J].华北水利水电学院学报,2017,38(2):56-60. |
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| 作者姓名： | 康业渊 张娜 狄文龙 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 中国葛洲坝集团国际工程有限公司,北京,100000;2. 金华市水利水电勘测设计院有限公司,浙江 金华,321000 |
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| 摘 要： | 为评价水电工程泥石流的危险性,结合水电工程泥石流灾害的特点,在参考国内外文献的基础上,确定了基于多因素的水电工程泥石流危险性评价指标体系,并以此为基础,搜集、调研资料,建立了典型泥石流范例库。借助模糊最优识别理论,建立了水电工程泥石流危险性初步评价的模糊最优识别模型。利用该模型对某水电工程泥石流的危险性进行了分析评价,评价结果与实际情况相符,验证了该模型的有效性。
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| 关 键 词： | 水电工程泥石流 不确定性分析 模糊最优识别理论 危险性评价 |
Risk Evaluation Model of Debris Flow in Hydropower Project Based on Fuzzy Optimum Recognition Theory |
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| KANG Yeyuan,ZHANG Na,DI Wenlong.Risk Evaluation Model of Debris Flow in Hydropower Project Based on Fuzzy Optimum Recognition Theory[J].Journal of North China Institute of Water Conservancy and Hydroelectric Power,2017,38(2):56-60. |
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| Authors: | KANG Yeyuan ZHANG Na DI Wenlong |
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| Abstract: | In order to evaluate the dangers of debris flow in hydropower projects,and based on the characteristics of the debris flow hazards of hydropower projects,a multi-factor evaluation index system for debris flow hazards of hydropower projects was established on the basis of domestic and international literatures.Based on this,a typical debris flow model reservoir was established,and then a fuzzy optimal recognition model for debris flow risk assessment of hydropower projects was established by means of fuzzy optimal recognition theory.The risk of debris flow in a hydropower project was analyzed and evaluated by using the model.The evaluation results were in line with the actual situation and the effectiveness of the model was verified. |
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| Keywords: | debris flow uncertainty analysis fuzzy optimal recognition model hazard evaluation |
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