| 基于ARIMA模型自动预测我国保险行业保费收入的应用和实践 |
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| 引用本文： | 王永宏,饶继广.基于ARIMA模型自动预测我国保险行业保费收入的应用和实践[J].软件产业与工程,2010(6):39-44. |
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| 作者姓名： | 王永宏 饶继广 |
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| 作者单位： | 上海新致软件有限公司,上海,201207 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文采用ARJMA模型以我国财产险的保费收入的预测为例，对数据预处理、模型的选择、识别、估计、检验等过程进行了详细的分析，得出了预测结果报告，并描述了对我国产寿险的保费收入实现自动预测并得到结果报表的思路和方法。
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| 关 键 词： | ARIMA模型 时间序列模型 预测 保费收入 |
Application and Practice on the Property Insurance Premium Income of China Forecast Based on ARIMA Model |
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| WANG Yonghong,RAO Jiguang.Application and Practice on the Property Insurance Premium Income of China Forecast Based on ARIMA Model[J].Software Industry and Engineering,2010(6):39-44. |
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| Authors: | WANG Yonghong RAO Jiguang |
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| Affiliation: | (Shanghai Newtouch Software Co., Ltd., Shanghai 201207, China) |
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| Abstract: | The ARIMA model is utilized to analyze and forecast the property insurance premium income. The model choosing, data preprocessing, identification, estimation and verification are studied and the forecast results report is obtained. The thoughts and method for auto-forecasting of the insurance premium income of China based on the model are discussed |
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| Keywords: | ARIMA Model Time Series Model Forecast Premium Income |
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