基于风险防范的供应商数量优化决策

在公开透明的市场环境下,从制造商采购原材料的采购总成本出发,建立了一个基于风险防范的供应商数量优化模型。该模型描述了影响采购总成本的各个因素,并引入了风险规避系数,将供应商的供应风险定量化、成本化。通过算例,分析了风险规避系数、供应中断概率以及中断后造成的企业财务损失等风险因素对最优供应商数量的影响。

Risk-preventing-based Study on Supplier Numbers

From the point of the total cost of the procurement of raw materials,a model of optimal supplier numbers was established based on risk preventing in an open and transparent market environment. The model described the impact of various factors in the procurement,and introduced the coefficient of risk aversion. This included the suppliers' risk in the form of costs quantitatively. The influence on optimal supplier numbers was analyzed through examples,as is brought about by the coefficient of risk aversion,the probability of supply disruptions and the financial losses thereby caused after the interruption.