| 基于不确定AHP的建设项目风险模糊综合评判 |
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| 引用本文： | 王家远,王宏涛.基于不确定AHP的建设项目风险模糊综合评判[J].深圳大学学报(理工版),2006,23(1):48-53. |
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| 作者姓名： | 王家远 王宏涛 |
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| 作者单位： | 深圳大学建筑与土木工程学院,深圳,518060 |
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| 摘 要： | 应用Delphi调查法，分析影响承包商项目成本的主要风险因素，并以此为基础建立风险评价的层次模型；通过构造区间判断矩阵，采用不确定层次分析法确定风险评价的指标权重，探讨运用这些指标进行建设项目风险模糊综合评判的具体方法．通过工程实案，验证了本文提出的风险评价方法．
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| 关 键 词： | 项目风险 层次分析法 模糊综合评判 隶属度 |
| 文章编号： | 1000-2618(2006)01-0048-06 |
| 收稿时间： | 2005-04-08 |
| 修稿时间： | 2005-11-14 |
Fuzzy comprehensive evaluation for construction project risks based on uncertainty AHP |
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| WANG Jia-yuan,WANG Hong-tao.Fuzzy comprehensive evaluation for construction project risks based on uncertainty AHP[J].Journal of Shenzhen University(Science &engineering),2006,23(1):48-53. |
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| Authors: | WANG Jia-yuan WANG Hong-tao |
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| Affiliation: | College of Architecture and Civil Engineering Shenzhen University Shenzhen 518060 P. R. China |
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| Abstract: | Major risk factors for cost of contractor are summarized by investigating method of Delphi, and a model of analytic hierarchy process (AHP) for project risk evaluation is developed. AHP method is applied to calculate the index weight by forming interval number evaluation matrix. Meanwhile, the concrete method of fuzzy comprehensive evaluation is probed. Using the index weights to analyse project risks is discussed in detail. A real example is given in this paper. |
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| Keywords: | project risk analytic hierarehy process fuzzy comprehensive evaluation degree of subordination |
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