考虑停车位不足的出发时刻选择问题

针对目的地停车位不足,出行者如何选择出发时刻的问题,在有限理性视野下综合考虑道路拥堵状况、出行者个人感知差异、目的地车位供给状况以及无法停入合法停车位后将受到惩罚等因素对出行者出发时刻选择的影响.依据前景理论设计实验,通过调查获取出行者出发时刻选择意向数据,构建出行者出发时刻选择模型.研究结果表明:停车位剩余状况影响出行者对出行结果的满意程度以及下一次出行决策.出行者出行结果满意度随着目的地剩余车位的减少而降低,当出行者的出行结果为满意时,出行者下一次出行由倾向于早到逐渐变为倾向于晚到.在车位不足,不能合法停车的情况下,不同的惩罚措施会影响到出行者下一次出发时刻的决策结果,惩罚越严重,出行者越倾向于早出发.

Departure Time Choice Considering Shortage of Parking Spaces

To solve the problem of travelers departure time choice considering insufficient parking space, based on perspective of bounded rationality, the road congestion situation, traveler personal perception differences, destination parking status, lack of the legitimate parking spaces and other factors were taken into account to analyze the influence of departure time choice of travelers. Based on prospect theory, the experiment was designed to investigate the intention of the traveler at departure time choice. It is shown that the traveler's satisfaction with the travel result and the decision of the next trip are related to the residual status of the parking space after the traveler arrives at the destination. With the decrease of the supply rate of the remaining parking spaces, the satisfaction degree of the traveler is reduced. When the travel result of the traveller is satisfied, the traveler's next trip decision is from early arrival to late. In the cases that the traveler can't park at the legal parking spaces, different penalty measures lead to different decisions of traveler for the next departure time decision. The more severe punishment measures are the more inclined to a traveler's earlier departure.