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流域汇流的模糊系数非线性微分动态模型
引用本文:周惠成 陈守煜. 流域汇流的模糊系数非线性微分动态模型[J]. 水利学报, 1995, 2(5): 35-43
作者姓名:周惠成 陈守煜
作者单位:大连理工大学土木系
摘    要:本文建立了一般形式的流域汇流模糊系数非线性微分动态模型(FNLDDM),提出了线性模型计重要度误差最小二乘法,并与非线性规划相结合,优选模型参数,详细研究了二阶模型-FNLDDM(2,2)的参数识别与预测,经用于清河水流域的汇流预报,取得了满意成果,初步表明FNLDDM模型是描述雨洪非线性关系的有效模型。

关 键 词:流域 汇流 非线性 动态模型 模糊 预报

Fuzzy nonlinear differential dynamic model of watershed confluence
Zhou Huicheng, Chen Shouyu. Fuzzy nonlinear differential dynamic model of watershed confluence[J]. Journal of Hydraulic Engineering, 1995, 2(5): 35-43
Authors:Zhou Huicheng   Chen Shouyu
Affiliation:Dalian University of Technology
Abstract:A fuzzy nonlinear differential dynamic model, FNLDDM(n,1), of watershed confluence is established and its nonliear and fuZZy coefficients are optimized by combining flexiplex of nonlinear programming with the method of least squares of linear model in which importances of deviations between observed and forecasted flows can be taken into account of.The model FNLDDM(2,2)is studied in detail and is applied to the calculation of confluence of Qinghe reservoir watershed. Satisfactory results have been attained.
Keywords:Fuzzy  nonlinear   confleunce   forecast   dynamic model.
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