焦作市城区大气环境质量预测探讨

在对现有大气环境预测方法深入分析的基础上，利用焦作市城区大气环境监测数据，采用灰色建模预测方法对城区主要大气环境污染因子浓度进行了建模预测分析，并对未来可能的变化进行了预测和预断性评价结果表明，在现有城区社会经济发展速度、产业结构及技术条件不发生大的变化的情况下，如果不采取积极的环境管理手段，加大环境治理力度，焦作城区大气环境质量将进一步恶化．

Approaches to Prediction of Atmospheric Environmental Quality in Urban Area of Jiaozuo City

This paper mainly analyses the atmospheric environmental pollutant concentration and establishes their mathematical model based on the atmospheric environmental monitoring data of the urban area of Jiaozuo city by the grey model method. It has predicted the change tendency of this area in the future and suggested the deductive assessments of the atmospheric environmental quality of this area. The results indicate that the atmospheric environmental quality will worse if there is no series of effective measures to be taken to improve environment management.