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大型集会的人群监测与态势预警分析
引用本文:陈思文,卞阳东,胡风,王潮. 大型集会的人群监测与态势预警分析[J]. 网络与信息安全学报, 2017, 3(12): 45-53. DOI: 10.11959/j.issn.2096-109x.2017.00207
作者姓名:陈思文  卞阳东  胡风  王潮
作者单位:1. 上海大学特种光纤与光接入网重点实验室,上海 200444;2. 上海大学特种光纤与先进通信国际合作联合实验室,上海 200444;3. 上海大学上海先进通信与数据科学研究院,上海 200444;4. 波士顿大学电子工程学院,波士顿 02215
基金项目:国家自然科学基金资助项目(61572304);国家自然科学基金资助项目(61272096);国家自然科学基金资助项目(60970006);国家自然科学基金资助项目(61332019)
摘    要:以上海外滩踩踏事件为例,提出大型集会人群监测与人流态势分析急需解决的问题:人群统计及景区内部的人流密度、流向和流速分析,以及大型集会内部局部区域人流走走停停和对冲等异动的判断,分析当前三大类主要技术手段存在的先天性缺陷。基于手机信令与基站拜访位置寄存器提出相应的算法和对策建议,为未来各类大型集会对人流态势研判和预警、应急响应和疏导提供支持。

关 键 词:人群监测  态势预警  拜访位置寄存器  外滩踩踏事件  大型集会  

Population surveillance and trend alert analysis of mass gatherings
Si-wen CHEN,Yang-dong BIAN,Feng HU,Chao WANG. Population surveillance and trend alert analysis of mass gatherings[J]. Chinese Journal of Network and Information Security, 2017, 3(12): 45-53. DOI: 10.11959/j.issn.2096-109x.2017.00207
Authors:Si-wen CHEN  Yang-dong BIAN  Feng HU  Chao WANG
Affiliation:1. Key Laboratory of Specialty Fiber Optics and Optical Access Networks,Shanghai University,Shanghai 200444,China;2. Joint International Research Laboratory of Specialty Fiber Optics and Advanced Communication,Shanghai University,Shanghai 200444,China;3. Shanghai Institute for Advanced Communication and Data Science,Shanghai University,Shanghai 200444,China;4. College of Engineering Electrical Engineering Department,Boston University,Boston 02215,America
Abstract:Taking the bund stampede in December 31th,2014 as an example,the urgent problems of the population surveillance and trend alert analysis in mass gatherings were proposed:population statistics and the flow density in the scenic,flow and velocity analysis,the judgments of stop-and-go or head-on walking phenomenon inside the local area.In order to provide support for population situation judgment and early warning,emergency response and evacuation in future mass gatherings,the intrinsic defects of the current three principal techniques analysis and the corresponding suggestions were put forward.
Keywords:population surveillance  trend alert  visitor location register  the bund stampede  mass gathering  
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