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A decision model for energy resource selection in China
Authors:Bing Wang  Dundar F. Kocaoglu  Tugrul U. Daim  Jiting Yang
Affiliation:1. Portland State University, Department of Engineering and Technology Management, Portland, OR 97207-0751, USA;2. Network Education School, Beijing University of Posts & Telecommunications, Beijing 100088, China
Abstract:This paper evaluates coal, petroleum, natural gas, nuclear energy and renewable energy resources as energy alternatives for China through use of a hierarchical decision model. The results indicate that although coal is still the major preferred energy alternative, it is followed closely by renewable energy. The sensitivity analysis indicates that the most critical criterion for energy selection is the current energy infrastructure. A hierarchical decision model is used, and expert judgments are quantified, to evaluate the alternatives. Criteria used for the evaluations are availability, current energy infrastructure, price, safety, environmental impacts and social impacts.
Keywords:Evaluation   Hierarchical decision model   China
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