从不完全契约视角分析水权交易应对跨境水资源冲突

论文从不完全契约视角提出跨境水资源冲突的根源是水资源所有权不明确、契约参与方的有限理性和第三方监管缺失。在图模型的理论框架下分析跨境水资源冲突各主体策略的状态转移及稳定性，并以伊犁河水资源冲突事件为案例，尝试给出伊犁河跨境水资源冲突可能的解决方式。结果表明，水权交易模式相对于传统的跨境水资源权益协商模式，对化解跨境水资源冲突的稳定性效果更优。研究结论可为化解跨境水资源冲突、促进跨境水资源治理体系变革提供路径参考。

PATH TO TRANS-REGION WATER RESOURCE CONFLICTS BY WATER RIGHT TRADING VIEWING FROM INCOMPLETE CONTRACT

The reasons of trans-region water resource conflicts lie in unclear water resource ownership, irrational contract participants and lacks of the third supervisor viewing for incomplete contract. This paper, under the theoretical basis of graph model, analyzes their status transfer and stability of each major strategy of trans-region water resource conflicts, and attempts to present workable path to Ili River water resource conflict. Water right trading mode is a better way of prominent stability in dealing with trans-region water resource conflicts, compared with the traditional trans-region water resource interest negotiation mode. This paper provides a path to trans-region water resource conflicts and to its management system reform.