舰船设计方案技术风险评估指标体系研究

对于新研装备,技术风险的度量和管理十分重要.为了合理度量舰船装备研制中所隐藏的技术风险,分析了舰船装备设计方案及其特点,在此基础上,运用技术成熟度评价方法,构建了舰船研制方案技术风险评估的指标体系.该指标体系借鉴技术成熟度评价的思想,结合舰船武器装备设计方案的特点,使设计方案技术风险评估具有实用性和可操作性,有效地解决了设计方案所隐含的技术风险量化问题.该指标体系对其它装备的技术风险评估也具有一定的借鉴作用.

Research on index system for evaluating technical risk in warship design

It is important to evaluate and manage technology risk in developing weapon equipment.In order to evaluate the technical risk of warship design in reason,warship equipment design project and its characteristic were analyzed,on this basis,technology readiness assessment method was applied for setting up index system of evaluating technical risk for warship design.The index system,borrows the ideology of technology readiness level(TRL),congregates the characteristic of warship equipment design,can make measuring technical risk to be practical and flexible.So the problem on how to measuring technical risk of project is solved.This index system has some reference for evaluating other equipment’s technical risk.