| 应用温特斯模型预测膜元件销售量 |
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| 引用本文： | 滕文杰,程晓鸣. 应用温特斯模型预测膜元件销售量[J]. 工业工程与管理, 2004, 0(Z1) |
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| 作者姓名： | 滕文杰 程晓鸣 |
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| 作者单位： | 上海交通大学机械与动力工程学院 上海200030(滕文杰)，上海交通大学机械与动力工程学院 上海200030(程晓鸣) |
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| 摘 要： | 根据膜元件前4年的销售记录及其季节性特征,应用温特斯季节指数平滑模型预测方法,对膜元件销售进行预测,以缩短产品生产周期和交货期,降低产品生产过程成本,提升产品的竞争力,并提出了更精确拟合的实施可能。
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| 关 键 词： | 预测模型 交货期 竞争力 |
To Use Water''''s Model to Forecast Sales of Membrane Modules |
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| TENG Wen-jie,CHENG Xiao-ming. To Use Water''''s Model to Forecast Sales of Membrane Modules[J]. Industrial Engineering and Management, 2004, 0(Z1) |
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| Authors: | TENG Wen-jie CHENG Xiao-ming |
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| Abstract: | The article forecasts the next year's sales of membrane modules with Water's seasonal smoothing exponential forecasting method based on the sale over the past four years. First, the method shortens the period of production and delivery. Second, it lowers the cost of production and strengthens the competitiveness of the product in the market. The paper proposes the possible measures to further improve the precision of the forecasting. |
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| Keywords: | forecasting method period of delivery competitiveness |
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