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| 季节ARIMA模型在于桥水库溶解氧预测中的应用 | |
| 引用本文： | 王绪鹏,秦保平,李云生,高琼洁,刘光逊,王玉秋.季节ARIMA模型在于桥水库溶解氧预测中的应用[J].水资源与水工程学报,2010,21(2):39-41. |
| 作者姓名： | 王绪鹏 秦保平 李云生 高琼洁 刘光逊 王玉秋 |
| 作者单位： | 1. 南开大学,环境科学与工程学院环境污染控制过程与基准教育部重点实验室,天津,300071 2. 南开大学,环境科学与工程学院环境污染控制过程与基准教育部重点实验室,天津,300071;天津市环境监测中心,天津,300191 3. 环境保护部环境规划院,北京,100012 |
| 基金项目： | 国家水体污染控制与治理科技重大专项 |
| 摘 要： | 目前水库污染问题严重,而溶解氧是表征水体受污染程度和生态环境好坏的重要指标。介绍了ARIMA模型,以于桥水库三个监测站点1999～2005年的溶解氧含量为基础,运用季节ARIMA模型进行分析,预测2006年各监测站点的溶解氧含量,经与实际数据验证,说明该方法对于桥水库溶解氧浓度预测效果较好。 |
| 关 键 词： | 溶解氧 水库污染 季节ARIMA模型 于桥水库 |
Application of Seasonal ARIMA Model in Forecast DO of Yuqiao Reservoir |
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| WANG Xu-peng,QIN Bao-ping,LI Yun-sheng,GAO Qiong-jie,LIU Guang-xun,WANG Yu-qiu.Application of Seasonal ARIMA Model in Forecast DO of Yuqiao Reservoir[J].Journal of water resources and water engineering,2010,21(2):39-41. | |
| Authors: | WANG Xu-peng QIN Bao-ping LI Yun-sheng GAO Qiong-jie LIU Guang-xun WANG Yu-qiu |
| Affiliation: | WANG Xu-peng1,QIN Bao-ping1,2,LI Yun-sheng3,GAO Qiong-jie1,LIU Guang-xun1,WANG Yu-qiu1(1.Key Laboratory of Pollution Processes , Environmental Criteria of Ministry of Education,College of Environmental Science , Engineering,Nankai University,Tianjin 300071,China,2.Tianjin Environmental Monitoring Center,Tianjin 300191,3.Chinese Academy for Environmental Planning,Beijing 100012,China) |
| Abstract: | The reservoir pollution problem is serious at present,and DO concentration is an important index to water quality and ecological environment.The seasonal ARIMA model was used to analyze Yuqiao Reservoir's DO concentration in three monitoring sites based on the date from 1999-2005,and to predicate the DO content of each monitoring site in 2006.The results showed that this method was able to well-describe the changes in DO of the reservoir. |
| Keywords: | DO reservoir pollution seasonal ARIMA model Yuqiao reservoir |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ | |