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南门湾滑移式危岩体风险评价研究
引用本文:李漪,晏鄂川,胡显明,杨建国.南门湾滑移式危岩体风险评价研究[J].长江科学院院报,2011,28(5):14-17.
作者姓名:李漪  晏鄂川  胡显明  杨建国
作者单位:1.中国地质大学(武汉) 工程学院,武汉 430074;2.重庆地质矿产研究院,重庆 400042
基金项目:教育部新世纪“优秀人才支持计划”资助项目(NCET-07-0775)
摘    要:位于巫溪县的南门湾危岩带曾发生多次破坏,共造成百余人死亡,严重制约了当地的社会经济发展.在前人研究成果的基础上,选择危岩带中4个滑移式危岩体为研究对象,根据蒙特卡洛模拟法计算出它们在天然和暴雨工况下的破坏概率,并结合实际情况分析了危岩体的威胁对象及其易损性,最后根据以上数据计算得出:自然工况下人员伤亡风险为0.30人,...

关 键 词:危岩体  破坏概率  威胁对象  易损性  风险评价

Risk Assessment for Nanmenwan Sliding Dangerous Rock Masses
LI Yi,YAN E-chuan,HU Xian-ming,YANG Jian-guo.Risk Assessment for Nanmenwan Sliding Dangerous Rock Masses[J].Journal of Yangtze River Scientific Research Institute,2011,28(5):14-17.
Authors:LI Yi  YAN E-chuan  HU Xian-ming  YANG Jian-guo
Affiliation:1.Engineering Faculty, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan 430074,China;
2.Chongqing Institute of Geology &; Mineral Resources, Chongqing 400042, China
Abstract:Located in Wuxi county,Nanmenwan dangerous rock zone has encountered failure for many times which caused deaths of more than 100 people and restricted local social and economic development.On the basis of previous researches,four sliding dangerous rock masses from the zone were chosen as research objects,and their failure probability in normal and rainstorm conditions were calculated by Monte Carlo simulation.The element at risk of the rock masses as well as their vulnerability were also analyzed based on t...
Keywords:sliding dangerous rock  failure probability  element at risk  vulnerability  risk assessment  
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