Regulatory impact of photovoltaic prosumer policies in Brazil based on a financial risk analysis |
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| Affiliation: | 1. Department of Environmental Sciences and Engineering, Gillings School of Global Public Health, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC, USA;2. Center on Financial Risk in Environmental Systems, Gillings School of Global Public Health, UNC Institute for the Environment, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC, USA;3. Department of Forestry and Environmental Resources, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC, USA;1. Renewable Energy Graduate Program, Federal University of Paraiba, Brazil;2. Electric Engineer PhD Program, Federal University of Itajubá, Brazil;3. Department of Production Engineering, Federal University of Paraiba, Brazil;4. Department of Management, Federal Institute of Education, Science and Technology – North of Minas Gerais, Brazil;5. Faculty of Finance and Accounting, Prague University of Economics and Business, Czech Republic;6. Faculty of Social Sciences, Charles University, Czech Republic;7. IEPG, Federal University of Itajubá, Brazil;1. Institute of Electrical and Energy Systems, Federal University of Itajuba, Itajuba, MG, Brazil;2. Institute of Production Engineering and Management, Federal University of Itajuba, Itajuba, MG, Brazil;3. Post-Graduate Program in Business Administration, Mackenzie Presbyterian University, Sao Paulo, SP, Brazil;1. Faculdade de Ciências, Universidade de Lisboa, 1749-016, Lisboa, Portugal, Currently at EDP, Portugal;2. Instituto Dom Luiz, Faculdade de Ciências, Universidade de Lisboa, 1749-016, Lisboa, Portugal |
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| Abstract: | In 2018, A Regulatory Impact Analysis (RIA) was launched to review the Brazil's prosumer remuneration scheme in Brazil. Six policy alternatives that can impose different financial risks on photovoltaic prosumers, including whether or not there are complementary incentives, are considered. Policy implications are based on an analysis of the financial risk to prosumers in São Paulo state in terms of the Conditional Value at Risk of Net Present Value. The results reveal that additional financial incentives can mitigate the financial risk of some alternatives. Some alternatives impose financial risk that may discourage new prosumers in some of the São Paulo regions studied. |
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| Keywords: | Distributed generation Regulatory impact analysis PV systems Renewable electricity Conditional value at risk |
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