改进证据推理的联合防空作战效能评估模型

根据证据理论在处理不确定性推理问题时的优势，运用证据理论对联合防空作战效能进行评估。首先建立基于证据推理的基本模型，然后引入模糊数学方法来处理具有模糊概念或推理关系的复杂问题，并且还考虑了实际问题中可能出现的加权证据或者相关证据的情况，提出了利用改进的证据模型进行联合防空作战效能评估的方法。通过实例分析，证明了改进证据推理模型在联合防空作战效能评估中的实用性与有效性。

Efficiency evaluation model of joint air defense operation based on advanced evidence reasoning

According to the advantage in dealing with uncertainty reasoning problems, the evidence theory was introduced to evaluate the efficiency of joint air defense operation. Firstly an ordinary model based on evidential reasoning was proposed, then fuzzy theory was applied to solve the problems with fuzzy concept or relations.The advanced evidence model was introduced to evaluate the efficiency of joint air defense operation aiming at the weighted or correlative evidence combination problems occured in actual condition. An example has been given to show the correctness of this new method and show the practicability and effectiveness in efficiency evaluation of joint air defense operation.