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安徽省黑色金属冶炼及压延加工业电力经济关系及用电量预测
引用本文:王宝,杨敏,李周,邢胜男,徐兵华.安徽省黑色金属冶炼及压延加工业电力经济关系及用电量预测[J].中国电力,2018,51(5):179-184.
作者姓名:王宝  杨敏  李周  邢胜男  徐兵华
作者单位:1. 国网安徽省电力公司经济技术研究院, 安徽 合肥 230022; 2. 北京经世万方信息技术有限公司, 北京 100022
摘    要:通过对安徽省黑色金属冶炼及压延加工业经济电力数据的分析,论述黑色金属行业发展主要经济指标与行业用电量之间的动态关系,找到用电数据与经济指标变化不一致的根本原因。并通过选取合理的经济指标,给出安徽省黑色金属行业发展形势与行业用电需求变化趋势之间的量化关系,并据此对安徽省黑色金属冶炼及压延加工业用电量进行短期预测。

关 键 词:电力  工业经济  增加值  用电量  粗钢  钢材  
收稿时间:2017-07-31
修稿时间:2018-01-22

The Relationship Between Economy and the Electricity Consumption and Power Forecasting in Black Metal Smelting and Rolling Processing Industry in Anhui Province
WANG Bao,YANG Min,LI Zhou,XING Shengnan,XU Binghua.The Relationship Between Economy and the Electricity Consumption and Power Forecasting in Black Metal Smelting and Rolling Processing Industry in Anhui Province[J].Electric Power,2018,51(5):179-184.
Authors:WANG Bao  YANG Min  LI Zhou  XING Shengnan  XU Binghua
Affiliation:1. Electric Power Economic & Technological Research Institute of State Grid Anhui Electric Power Corporation, Hefei 230022, China; 2. Beijing JSWF Information Technology Co., Ltd., Beijing 100022, China
Abstract:Based on an analysis of the economic and power data of the black metal smelting and rolling processing industry in Anhui Province, this paper discusses the dynamic relationship between the main economic indicators of the black metal industry and electricity consumption, and finds out the root cause of the inconsistency between electricity data and economic indicators in that industry. Furthermore, by choosing reasonable economic indicators, the paper presents the quantitative relationship between the development situation and electricity demand trends of the black metal smelting and rolling processing industry in Anhui Province, based on which,a short-term electricity consumption forecasting is made.
Keywords:electric power  industrial economy  added value  electricity consumption  crude steel  steel  
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