生产模拟仿真在电力市场环境下的应用案例及建议

生产模拟仿真,作为电力系统规划及运行的核心工具,在欧美国家过去30多年的电力市场化发展过程中发挥了重要作用。文中重点介绍了生产模拟仿真的概念、结构、数学模型和应用情况,对其在电力市场环境下的应用案例进行了详细分析;探讨了生产模拟仿真在中国应用所面临的机遇和挑战。文中建议在中国电力市场化改革背景下的系统规划和运行机制研究中应用生产模拟仿真并对其作必要的改进,以促进中国系统规划和运行机制的科学发展。

Application and Suggestions of Power System Production Simulation in Deregulated Electricity Market

During the 30 years of electricity market deregulation in North America and Europe, power system production simulation plays a critical role as a core technology to address the challenges in power grid operation and planning. This paper addresses the concept, structure, and mathematic models of power system production simulation. Many applications are analyzed, especially under deregulated market environment. This paper also reveals the value of production simulation applications in China and discusses the potential challenges to be encountered. It is proposed to adopt advanced production simulation technology in power system planning and electricity market mechanism design in order to facilitate scientific quantitative approach based analysis and contribute to this round of electricity market reform in China.