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A generalized Dynamic Conditional Correlation model for portfolio risk evaluation
Authors:Monica Billio  Massimiliano Caporin
Affiliation:1. Università Ca’ Foscari di Venezia, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche, San Giobbe, 873, School for Advanced Studies in Venice Foundation, Venezia, Italy;2. Università degli Studi di Padova, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche “Marco Fanno”, Via del Santo, 33, Padova, Italy
Abstract:We propose a generalization of the Dynamic Conditional Correlation multivariate GARCH model of Engle R.F. Engle, Dynamic conditional correlation: a simple class of multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity models, Journal of Business and Economic Statistics 20 (2002) 339–350] and of the Asymmetric Dynamic Conditional Correlation model of Cappiello et al.L. Cappiello, R.F. Engle, K. Sheppard, Asymmetric dynamics in the correlations of global equity and bond returns, Journal of Financial Econometrics 25 (2006) 537–572]. The model we propose introduces a block structure in parameter matrices that allows for interdependence with a reduced number of parameters. Our model nests the Flexible Dynamic Conditional Correlation model of Billio et al. M. Billio, M. Caporin, M. Gobbo, Flexible dynamic conditional correlation multivariate GARCH for asset allocation, Applied Financial Economics Letters 2 (2006) 123–130] and is named Quadratic Flexible Dynamic Conditional Correlation Multivariate GARCH. In the paper, we provide conditions for positive definiteness of the conditional correlations. We also present an empirical application to the Italian stock market comparing alternative correlation models for portfolio risk evaluation.
Keywords:Dynamic correlations  Block-structures  Flexible correlation models
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