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基于PSO优化BiLSTM的联合循环电厂输出功率预测
引用本文:邵科嘉,周玉,宋豪,山浩强. 基于PSO优化BiLSTM的联合循环电厂输出功率预测[J]. 电力科学与工程, 2022, 38(2): 9-17. DOI: 10.3969/j.ISSN.1672-0792.2022.02.002
作者姓名:邵科嘉  周玉  宋豪  山浩强
作者单位:华北水利水电大学 电力学院,河南 郑州 450045
基金项目:国家自然科学基金(U1504622,31671580);河南省高等学校青年骨干教师培养计划项目(2018GGJS079);华北水利水电大学研究生教育创新计划基金(YK2020-24)。
摘    要:针对联合循环电厂发电能力受环境温度、压力、相对湿度和电力需求等条件变化影响而造成对输出功率预测精度较差的问题,提出粒子群算法(PSO,particle swarm optimization)与BiLSTM(BiLSTM,bi-directional long short-term memory)相结合的预测模型PSO-...

关 键 词:联合循环电厂  功率预测  BiLSTM神经网络  PSO算法

Output Power Prediction of Combined Cycle Power Plant Based on PSO Optimized BiLSTM
SHAO Kejia,ZHOU Yu,SONG Hao,SHAN Haoqiang. Output Power Prediction of Combined Cycle Power Plant Based on PSO Optimized BiLSTM[J]. Power Science and Engineering, 2022, 38(2): 9-17. DOI: 10.3969/j.ISSN.1672-0792.2022.02.002
Authors:SHAO Kejia  ZHOU Yu  SONG Hao  SHAN Haoqiang
Affiliation:(School of Electric Power,North China University of Water Resources and Electric Power,Zhengzhou 450045,China)
Abstract:In view of the poor prediction accuracy of the power generation capacity of combined cycle power plant caused by the changes of ambient temperature, pressure, relative humidity and power demand, a prediction model PSO-BiLSTM is proposed which combines PSO and BiLSTM. The number of hidden layer neurons, cycle times, learning rate, batch size and other parameters of BiLSTM are optimized by using the optimization ability of PSO, which not only realizes automatic parameter adjustment, but also further improves the output power prediction performance of BiLSTM model in power plants. Finally, the PSO-BiLSTM prediction model is established according to the optimized parameters to predict the UCI standard dataset. The experimental results show that the root mean square error and mean absolute percentage error of PSO-BiLSTM model are better than the listed typical algorithms and optimal combination algorithms, and the model has high accuracy in predicting power load data.
Keywords:combined cycle power plant  power prediction  BiLSTM neural network  PSO algorithm
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