| 包络模型在公路交通流量预测中的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 魏连雨,刘淑静,牛春刚. 包络模型在公路交通流量预测中的应用[J]. 微计算机信息, 2007, 23(9) |
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| 作者姓名： | 魏连雨 刘淑静 牛春刚 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 300130,天津,河北工业大学土木工程学院
2. 300130,天津,河北工业大学电气与自动化学院 |
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| 摘 要： | 交通量预测分析已成为交通工程领域重点研究的课题,对促进交通规划、管理与控制工作具有重要的意义。本文将包络预测方法应用到公路交通流量的预测中,建立了相应的包络预测模型,并从实际应用的角度出发,通过实际算例对其进行较为详细的阐述,证明了模型的正确性。
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| 关 键 词： | 包络预测 交通流量 时间序列 预测区间 |
Application of Envelope Forecast Method in Traffic Flow Prediction |
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| WEI LIAYU,LIU SHUJING,NIU CHUNGANG. Application of Envelope Forecast Method in Traffic Flow Prediction[J]. Control & Automation, 2007, 23(9) |
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| Authors: | WEI LIAYU LIU SHUJING NIU CHUNGANG |
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| Abstract: | At present,there are many kinds of prediction methods which are applied widely.And there has been many methods used in the traffic flow prediction,such as Exponential Smoothing,Time Series,Linear Regression and Neural Network,and so on.In this paper,the Envelope Forecast Method is used in the traffic flow prediction.And it is discussed in detail from the point of the practical application with an actual example. |
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| Keywords: | Envelope Forecast Traffic Flow Time Series Forecast Interval |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
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