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| 建筑业与建材业发展的互动机理及效应仿真研究 | |
| 引用本文： | 祁神军,张云波,丁烈云. 建筑业与建材业发展的互动机理及效应仿真研究[J]. 华中科技大学学报(城市科学版), 2011, 28(1) |
| 作者姓名： | 祁神军 张云波 丁烈云 |
| 作者单位： | 1. 华侨大学土木工程学院,福建,厦门,361021;华中科技大学土木工程与力学学院,湖北,武汉,430074 2. 华侨大学土木工程学院,福建,厦门,361021 3. 华中科技大学土木工程与力学学院,湖北,武汉,430074 |
| 基金项目： | 华侨大学高层次人才引进基金，国侨办基金 |
| 摘 要： | 采用系统动力学原理和方法,从投人与产出角度提出了建筑业与建材业发展的动力机制和动力模型.根据我国1992年至2005年建筑业、建材业及宏观经济发展的数据,模拟和预测了我国建筑业、建材业发展现状及发展趋势;改变建筑业投资,模拟并预测其对建筑业、建材业的影响效应.设定金融危机对建筑业和建材业的影响参数,模拟并预测其对建筑业和建材业的影响程度;在此基础上,设定建筑业增加3万多亿投资的参数,模拟金融危机情形下增加建筑业投资对建筑业和建材业的拉动效应.研究结果表明,建筑业与建材业发展互动影响效应明显;在金融危机的情形下,对建筑业增加投资,能有效促进建筑业及建材业等关联产业的持续增长,促进GDP的持续上涨. |
| 关 键 词： | 建筑业 建材业 系统动力学 互动机理 互动效应 |
Simulation of the Mechanism between Construction Industry and Building Materials Industry and Its Influence Degree |
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| QI Shenjun,ZHANG Yun-bo,DING Lie-yun. Simulation of the Mechanism between Construction Industry and Building Materials Industry and Its Influence Degree[J]. Journal of Huazhong University of Science and Technology, 2011, 28(1) | |
| Authors: | QI Shenjun ZHANG Yun-bo DING Lie-yun |
| Affiliation: | QI Shen-jun1,2,ZHANG Yun-bo1,DING Lie-yun2(1.School of Civil Engineering,Huaqiao University,Xiamen 361021,China,2.School of Civil Engineering and Mechanics,Huazhong University of Science and Technology,Wuhan 430074,China) |
| Abstract: | On the basal idea of Input-Output mode,the interior mechanism and dynamical model between construction industry and building materials industry was proposed with System Dynamics.Collecting and analyzing the history data of construction industry,building materials industry and macro-economy,the current situation and tendency of construction industry and building materials industry were monitored with the dynamical model.Computing the parameters of the dynamical model on the situation of Financial Crisis 2008... |
| Keywords: | construction industry building materials industry system dynamics interactive mechanism interaction effect |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 万方数据 等数据库收录！ | |