| 城市水资源适应气候变化能力评估方法研究--以北京市为例 |
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| 引用本文： | 张君枝,刘云帆,马文林,张艳娜.城市水资源适应气候变化能力评估方法研究--以北京市为例[J].北京建筑工程学院学报,2015(2):43-48. |
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| 作者姓名： | 张君枝 刘云帆 马文林 张艳娜 |
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| 作者单位： | 北京建筑大学 环境与能源工程学院 北京应对气候变化研究和人才培养基地 北京 100044;中国石油勘探开发研究院,北京,100083 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金青年科学基金项目，北京市优秀人才培养资助项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 根据北京市独特的城市发展和气候变化特征,将极端气候风险因子、城市化的影响及城市水资源系统三者叠加分析,借助文献调研、参考国外文献中适应能力评估指标体系的原则和方法,采用专家咨询、聚类分析、层次分析等方法,并经指标初选、指标优化、指标体系试评估、评估结果复审、二次优化等步骤,最终确立一套针对北京市水资源系统的"供水-需水-水质"三维适应气候变化能力的评估体系.
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| 关 键 词： | 水资源 适应能力 评估指标 气候变化 |
Index System of Adaptive Capacity for City Water Resources to Climate Change---A Case Study of Beijing |
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| Zhang Junzhi,Liu Yunfan,Ma Wenlin,Zhang Yanna.Index System of Adaptive Capacity for City Water Resources to Climate Change---A Case Study of Beijing[J].Journal of Beijing Institute of Civil Engineering and Architecture,2015(2):43-48. |
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| Authors: | Zhang Junzhi Liu Yunfan Ma Wenlin Zhang Yanna |
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| Affiliation: | Zhang Junzhi;Liu Yunfan;Ma Wenlin;Zhang Yanna;School of Environment and Energy Engineering,Beijing Climate Change Response Research and Education Center,Beijing University of Civil Engineering and Architecture;Research Institute of Petroleum Exploration & Development; |
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| Abstract: | Assessment methods of adaptive capacity began to get attention in recent years. According to the principles and methods of adaptive capacity evaluation index system in foreign literature, the adaptive capacity evaluation indicators system is put forward in this study, considering the extreme climate risk factors, urban water resource and the feasible adaptive measures with overlay analysis. The index was optimized through expert consultation and with the aid of SPSS clustering analysis. Adaptive capacity evaluation indicator system includes three parameters, and eleven indicators which assess adaptive capacity of the water resources system in urban. |
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| Keywords: | water resource adaptive capacity assessment index climate change |
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