| 评价某舰炮击发装置可靠度的贝叶斯方法 |
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| 引用本文： | 李守仁.评价某舰炮击发装置可靠度的贝叶斯方法[J].哈尔滨工程大学学报,1992(3). |
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| 作者姓名： | 李守仁 |
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| 作者单位： | 哈尔滨船舶工程学院机械工程系 |
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| 摘 要： | 为评价某舰炮发射过程中击发装置的可靠度,本文应用了贝叶斯方法。应用该方法是将可靠度 R 视为一随机变量,给出先验分布,确定先验分布密度函数。再根据试验数据修正先验分布,得出后验分布密度函数,从而在给定的置信度下,求出击发装置在舰炮射击条件下的可靠度。
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| 关 键 词： | 随机变量 可靠度 点估计 区间估计 |
The Bayes Method on Evaluating the Reliability of the Percussion Mechanism of Certain Naval Ordnance |
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| Li Shouren.The Bayes Method on Evaluating the Reliability of the Percussion Mechanism of Certain Naval Ordnance[J].Journal of Harbin Engineering University,1992(3). |
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| Authors: | Li Shouren |
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| Affiliation: | Dept.of Mechanical Eng. |
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| Abstract: | The Bayes method is applied in this paper to evaluating the reliability of the percussion mechanism of certain naval ordnance in shooting.In this method the reliability R is regarded as a random variable,the prior distribution and its density function is determined first,the density functon of posterior distribution is obtained by correcting the prior distribution according to the experimental data.Thereby the reliability of the percussion mechanism of the naval ordnance under shooting is obtained on a certain credibility. |
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| Keywords: | random variable credibility point estimations interval estimations |
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