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交通流量的预测仿真
引用本文:安高宏,郗涛,王莉静.交通流量的预测仿真[J].天津城市建设学院学报,2007,13(3):178-181,185.
作者姓名:安高宏  郗涛  王莉静
作者单位:1. 天津市公安交通管理局,天津,300040;天津工业大学,天津,300160
2. 天津工业大学,天津,300160
3. 天津城市建设学院,天津,300384
基金项目:天津工业大学与天津市公安交通管理局横向课题
摘    要:从城市交通规划的角度出发,根据交通流的特性,建立了基于广义回归神经网络的交通流预测模型和基于跟驰理论的仿真模型,并将此模型应用于天津市外环线的某路口,预测了该路口未来某高峰时刻的交通流量,模拟仿真了其交通运行特性,为今后该路口的交通规划和管理提供了直观、科学的数据.

关 键 词:交通流模型  广义回归神经网络  预测  仿真  交通控制
文章编号:1006-6853(2007)03-0178-04
修稿时间:2007-04-212007-05-16

Forecasting and Simulation of Traffic Flow
AN Gao-hong,XI Tao,WANG Li-jing.Forecasting and Simulation of Traffic Flow[J].Journal of Tianjin Institute of Urban Construction,2007,13(3):178-181,185.
Authors:AN Gao-hong  XI Tao  WANG Li-jing
Affiliation:1. Tianjin Public Security Traffic Management Bureau, Tianjin 300040, China; 2. Tianjin Polytechnic University, Tianjin 300160, China; 3.Tianjin Institute of Urban Construction, Tianjin 300384, China
Abstract:From the angle of municipal traffic planning and according to the features of traffic flow,a traffic flow forecasting model based on the GRNN and a simulation model based on the theory of car-following are built .This model is applied to a crossing at the outerring-road in Tianjin to forecast the traffic flow at peak time and the features of its traffic operation are simulated,thus providing objective and scientific data for the traffic management and planning at that crossing.
Keywords:traffic flow model  GRNN  forecasting  simulation  traffic control
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