| 灰色系统理论在矿井瓦斯涌出量预测中的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 伍爱友,田云丽,宋译,何利文. 灰色系统理论在矿井瓦斯涌出量预测中的应用[J]. 煤炭学报, 2005, 30(5): 589-592 |
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| 作者姓名： | 伍爱友 田云丽 宋译 何利文 |
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| 作者单位： | 湖南科技大学 能源与安全工程学院，湖南 湘潭 411201 |
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| 基金项目： | 湖南省自然科学基金资助项目（02JJY2176） |
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| 摘 要： | 以预测矿井瓦斯相对涌出量为研究目的，通过灰色系统的建模、关联度分析及残差辨识为基础，建立了灰色系统理论模型，并将该模型应用到某矿瓦斯涌出量预测分析中，对该矿历年来相对瓦斯涌出量进行了灰色生成，建立了灰色预测系统；由后验差检验结果、对照精度检验等级可知，灰色系统预测矿井瓦斯涌出量的拟合精度好，预测结果正确可靠，反映出了矿井瓦斯涌出量的客观存在与发展态势.
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| 关 键 词： | 灰色理论 瓦斯涌出量 预测 GM（1 1）模型 |
| 文章编号： | 0253-9993（2005）05-0589-04 |
| 收稿时间： | 2005-03-14 |
| 修稿时间： | 2005-03-14 |
Application of the grey system theory for predicting the amount of mine gas emission in coal mine |
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| WU Ai-you,TIAN Yun-li,SONG Yi,HE Li-wen. Application of the grey system theory for predicting the amount of mine gas emission in coal mine[J]. Journal of China Coal Society, 2005, 30(5): 589-592 |
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| Authors: | WU Ai-you TIAN Yun-li SONG Yi HE Li-wen |
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| Affiliation: | School of Energy and Safety Engineering, Hunan University of Science and Technology, Xiangtan 411201, China |
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| Abstract: | In order to predict the relative amount of mine gas emission, a model of grey system theory was built based on modelling grey system theory, analyzing association degree, and discriminating distinction. Used this model to analyze and predict the amount of mine gas emission and creating the grey emission amount of some coal mine, the grey predicting system of coal mine was built. It is shown that grey system theory can image the impersonality exit and develop posture of the amount of mine gas emission, because it has the virtue in link precision of forecast result due to checkout disoatch and comoarison orecision test degree. |
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| Keywords: | grey theory amount of mine gas emission prediction grey model(1 1) |
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