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沈阳市经济适用房投入比对商品房价格影响的实证分析
引用本文:赵昱,周雷,刘行. 沈阳市经济适用房投入比对商品房价格影响的实证分析[J]. 工程管理学报, 2013, 0(3): 102-105
作者姓名:赵昱  周雷  刘行
作者单位:1. 中房集团辽宁置业有限公司; 2,3. 沈阳建筑大学管理学院
基金项目:教育部人文社会科学研究项目(12YJC630122)
摘    要:从定量的角度说明沈阳市经济适用房投入比对商品房价格的抑制作用。根据2002~2012 年沈阳市统计年鉴提供的沈阳市经济适用房、商品房相关数据,以Eviews6.0 为操作平台,通过单位根检验论证数据具有可分析性,通过协整关系检验论证变量间存在某种长期关系,最后通过因果关系检验和误差修正模型的构建论证变量间存在单项因果关系。实证结果表明,经济适用房投入比对商品房价格存在抑制作用,经济适用房投入比平均每增加 1%。商品房价格将降低0.08%。

关 键 词:经济适用房投入比  商品房价格  Granger 因果检验  误差分析模型

A Positive Analysis of the Relationship Between the Affordable Housing Input Ratio and the Price of Commodity Housing in Shenyang
ZHAO Yu,ZHOU Lei,LIU Xing. A Positive Analysis of the Relationship Between the Affordable Housing Input Ratio and the Price of Commodity Housing in Shenyang[J]. Journal of Engineering Management, 2013, 0(3): 102-105
Authors:ZHAO Yu  ZHOU Lei  LIU Xing
Affiliation:1. Liaoning Properties Co.,Ltd. of The Housing Group; 2,3. School of Management,Shenyang Jianzhu University
Abstract:Relative data of the 2002-2011 Shenyang city affordable housing and commercial housing investment and sales is selected. By empirical data analysis,it is found that Shenyang city affordable housing investment ratio has inhibitory effect on commercial housing prices. Taking Eviews6.0 as an operation platform,unit root test proves whether the data can be analyzed. And then by the co-integration test it is demonstrated the existence of a long-term relationship between the variables,through the Granger causality test and error correction model to prove whether a causal relationship exists between the argument variables finally. The empirical results show that there is co-integration relationship in the long term between affordable housing investment and commercial housing price,and the unilateral causal relationship is established,the Shenyang city affordable housing investment ratio has a certain inhibition of the commercial housing prices.
Keywords:affordable housing input ratio  price of commodity housing  granger causality test  error correction model
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