| 基于灰色Verhulst的城市污水排放量预测模型 |
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| 引用本文： | 赵晶,孟凡玲,徐建新,陈南祥.基于灰色Verhulst的城市污水排放量预测模型[J].华北水利水电学院学报,2006,27(2):94-95. |
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| 作者姓名： | 赵晶 孟凡玲 徐建新 陈南祥 |
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| 作者单位： | 华北水利水电学院,河南,郑州,450011 |
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| 基金项目： | 河南省高校杰出科研创新人才工程项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 针对城市污水排放量数据序列特征,将灰色Verhulst模型的建模方法引入到城市污水排放量的预测中,并建立相应的预测模型.应用实例表明:该模型具有用较短的数据序列建立起预测精度较好的预测模型的优点.基于灰色Verhulst的城市污水排放量预测模型应用于城市污水排放量的中长期预测,可为城市环境规划提供决策参考.
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| 关 键 词： | 污水排放量 灰色Verhulst 预测模型 |
| 文章编号： | 1002-5634（2006）02-0094-02 |
| 收稿时间： | 2005-12-01 |
| 修稿时间： | 2006-01-20 |
Forecasting Model of Urban Sewage Discharge Based on Grey Verhulst |
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| ZHAO Jing,MENG Fan-ling,XU Jian-xin,CHEN Nan-xiang.Forecasting Model of Urban Sewage Discharge Based on Grey Verhulst[J].Journal of North China Institute of Water Conservancy and Hydroelectric Power,2006,27(2):94-95. |
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| Authors: | ZHAO Jing MENG Fan-ling XU Jian-xin CHEN Nan-xiang |
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| Affiliation: | North China Institute of Water Conservancy and Hydroelectric Power, Zhengzhou 450011, China |
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| Abstract: | In accordance with the characteristic of the data series of urban sewage discharge, Grey Verhulst model is introduced to found the forecasting model for urban sewage discharge. The study shows that lesser data are used to found a model with good precision as a systemic forecast method of urban sewage discharge for long-term, which offers a reference to urban environmental lay out decision-making. |
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| Keywords: | urban sewage discharge grey verhulst forecasting model |
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